Eastern Europe

Nevertheless, for the Cuban elite this familiar continuity is the best guarantee to maintain a regime surrounded by the USA and to avoid a social division of the party and overflowings. For those in favor of which Cuba becomes another liberal democracy as the one of the rest of the continent they are two alternatives: one is to indirectly look for a perhaps supported popular rise directly or by the USA; and the other is to press for a gradual reform intern. The possibility that in Cuba repeats the pro-western rises of East Europe 1989-91 is not today very viable. The USA no longer happens through one of their better moments of their history (as it were in 1989-1991) and, rather, one is enlodado in Iraq, Afghanistan and western Asia, where it sees arise contestatarios governments and movements (Hamas in Palestine and Ahmadinejad in Iran who it presses on Syria, Lebanon and Iraq). Of another side, in Latin America the scene is different from the one from 1989-91. Consensus of Washington is had broken and already there are several States that defer from the model fashionable monetarist in noventas.

There comes growing a new moderate left, that is not of cuts insurgent but democratizante. This accepts the market, the private investment and the structures of the States that already have stopped raising to look for to overthrow. A communist government can be demoted or by forces that are to their right (as it happened in Eastern Europe in 1989-91) or to its left (as it could happen in Eastern Europe in Hungary 1956, the Prague 1968 or Poland 1980). This last one is something that could promote some sectors Marxist displeasures with the new inequalities and the increase of prostitution, that would propose one revolution within the revolution raising to desprivatizar, to re-float democratically the planned economy and retaking a militant foreign policy.

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