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Japanese Earthquake

Parallels Between the Earthquake of Haiti – 2010 and Terremoto and Tsunami of Japan – 2011! Prof. Dr. Odalberto Casonatto Sundays This week we are visualizing televising, estonteantes images of the catastrophe of Japan. Passed only one year of the tragedy of Haiti, those images printed ahead of our eyes, that had entered 200,000 a thousand deaths more than still are present in our minds. It seems that of tragedy after tragedy we go being insensitive to these events. They mark the moment, but last some days the media in them presents other facts and goes forgetting. Remembering the tragedy of Haiti, that is more close to us, in the Caribbean, them they are Latin American and exists a Brazilian military contingent there, we suffer with the death of 20 military and of the Dr.

on Arns the Pastoral of the child, seems that it is Haitian tragedy more than says in them close. We think thus for the differences that exist between one and another one. Between Haiti and Japan the contrasts are clamorous: Passed already one year the people of Haiti not yet it was risen, many houses public institutions are there as the earthquake left. In Haiti, a people exists who this in search of a regimen politician who can bring better conditions of life for that empobrecida population. Therefore the social convulsion needing intervention contingents of Peace. The health situation already was precarious, is enough to say that the Dr. Arns, of the Pastoral of the health, victim of the earthquake was in the country to help the organization of the Pastoral of the child whom it searchs to save the innocent children victims of the hunger and illnesses. The epidemic of clera aggravated the situation still more that earthquake decimated hundreds of people after. In Haiti, the situation is showing that the population waits very of the external aid to be able to reerguer the country that already was dived in the misery and the death.

Economy: China and Brazil

Until day 30 of April, the purchases of action on the part of these investors surpassed the sales in R$ 4,5 billion in the gathered of the year. Only in April, the balance arrived the R$ 3.1 billion. One of the explanations that come gaining force is that Brazil well is seen because has a strong domestic market (more still after the governmental measures of stimulaton to the consumption), has resisted to the crisis (thanks to considered beddings solid) and because of its increasing commercial relations with the Chinese China.Mercado it is the buoy of salvaoUma well information related to the Asian giant was great the responsible one for the optimism. A pointer that measures the Chinese industrial activity had in April the first expansion after eight months followed of low. It is not something News Corp would like to discuss. China is great raw material importer, as oil and ore of iron.

As our country possesss a great exportvel excess of commodities, it finishes attracting the confidence them investing foreigners. Moreover, analysts had commemorated the initiative of the Asian countries in creating deep of emergency with a US$ mount of money 120 billion. The resources must be used to help the countries more seriously affected by the world-wide crisis. Notice that had helped ' ' levantar' ' ndiceEntre the main notice of the day, the Focus bulletin, prepared for the Central banking, disclosed that the majority of the economists of the financial sector had improved its projections for the evolution of PIB (Produto Interno Bruto) of this year: instead of a contraction of 0,39%, the medium one of the projections points a retraction of 0,30%.O Ministry of Public Works and the Economy entered a commercial surplus (bigger exportations that importation) of US$ 3,7 billion. The result is 113% superior to registered in the same month of last year (US$ the 1,737 billion) and 109% greater that the verified one in March of this year (US$ 1,772 billion).

Eastern Europe

Nevertheless, for the Cuban elite this familiar continuity is the best guarantee to maintain a regime surrounded by the USA and to avoid a social division of the party and overflowings. For those in favor of which Cuba becomes another liberal democracy as the one of the rest of the continent they are two alternatives: one is to indirectly look for a perhaps supported popular rise directly or by the USA; and the other is to press for a gradual reform intern. The possibility that in Cuba repeats the pro-western rises of East Europe 1989-91 is not today very viable. The USA no longer happens through one of their better moments of their history (as it were in 1989-1991) and, rather, one is enlodado in Iraq, Afghanistan and western Asia, where it sees arise contestatarios governments and movements (Hamas in Palestine and Ahmadinejad in Iran who it presses on Syria, Lebanon and Iraq). Of another side, in Latin America the scene is different from the one from 1989-91. Consensus of Washington is had broken and already there are several States that defer from the model fashionable monetarist in noventas.

There comes growing a new moderate left, that is not of cuts insurgent but democratizante. This accepts the market, the private investment and the structures of the States that already have stopped raising to look for to overthrow. A communist government can be demoted or by forces that are to their right (as it happened in Eastern Europe in 1989-91) or to its left (as it could happen in Eastern Europe in Hungary 1956, the Prague 1968 or Poland 1980). This last one is something that could promote some sectors Marxist displeasures with the new inequalities and the increase of prostitution, that would propose one revolution within the revolution raising to desprivatizar, to re-float democratically the planned economy and retaking a militant foreign policy.